Australian A-League | Gameweek 14

Jan 28, 2023 at 6am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
2 - 2
Western Utd

Millar (67'), Drew (81')
Baccus (45+1'), Uskok (45+3')
Baccus (49')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wales (60'), Milanovic (89')
Doumbia (39')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-0 Macarthur
Friday, January 20 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 21 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Macarthur 1-2 Western United

Unbeaten in their last three head-to-head encounters, we forecast Western United to continue that impressive run with three points at the Campbelltown Stadium on Saturday morning. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Western United
41.24% ( -0.12)	24.28% ( -0.12)	34.48% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 60% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.39% (

0.65)

42.61% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.99% (

0.64)

65.01% (

-0.64)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.21% (

0.22)

20.8% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.55% (

0.35)

53.45% (

-0.35)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.75% (

0.44)

24.25% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.39% (

0.62)

58.61% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 41.24%

Western United 34.48%

Draw 24.28%

Macarthur	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 41.24%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28%	1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.48%