Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.