Australian A-League | Gameweek 13

Jan 20, 2023 at 8.45am UK

Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
1 - 0
Macarthur

Clough (6')
Alagich (22'), Kitto (33'), Halloran (59'), Gauci (90+5')
Warland (17')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Drew (33'), Hollman (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-1 Victory
Saturday, January 14 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Central Coast
Friday, January 13 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Adelaide United 1-2 Macarthur

Adelaide United have been out of form in recent games, and throughout the season they have showcased a lack of consistency. Because of that, this could be a fixture that Macarthur ends up edging as they look to stay above their opponents in the league table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 53.75%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Macarthur
53.75% ( -0.02)	22.97% ( 0.01)	23.28% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.45% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.32% (

-0.01)

43.68% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.93% (

-0.01)

66.07% (

0.01)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.8% (

-0.01)

16.21% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.31% (

-0.02)

45.7% (

0.02)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.37%

32.63% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.82%

69.18% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 53.75%

Macarthur 23.28%

Draw 22.96%

Adelaide United	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 53.75%	1-1 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 5.49% 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.96%	1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 23.28%