Australian A-League | Gameweek 10

Jan 1, 2023 at 6am UK

Spotless Stadium

Western Sydney
4 - 0
Macarthur

Ngbakoto (16'), Bozanic (18'), Borrello (70'), Najjarine (88' pen.)
Marcelo (21'), Ngbakoto (56'), Mrcela (60'), Borrello (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Aspropotamitis (24'), Millar (85'), Millar (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Western Sydney
Friday, December 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 0-3 Macarthur
Saturday, December 24 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 Macarthur

Western Sydney currently boast the A-League's best defensive record, but we expect goals at both ends this weekend. That said, we also fancy the hosts to just about see off the threat of their visitors and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Macarthur
44.32% ( -0.08)	24.15% ( 0.08)	31.53% ( 0)

Both teams to score 59.38% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.04% (

-0.38)

42.96% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.64% (

-0.38)

65.36% (

0.38)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.42% (

-0.19)

19.57% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.5% (

-0.31)

51.5% (

0.31)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.83% (

-0.19)

26.17% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.75% (

-0.25)

61.25% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 44.32%

Macarthur 31.53%

Draw 24.15%

Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 44.32%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.15%	1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.53%