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Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
Jan 1, 2023 at 6am UK
Spotless Stadium
Macarthur

Western Sydney
4 - 0
Macarthur

Ngbakoto (16'), Bozanic (18'), Borrello (70'), Najjarine (88' pen.)
Marcelo (21'), Ngbakoto (56'), Mrcela (60'), Borrello (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Aspropotamitis (24'), Millar (85'), Millar (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Western Sydney
Friday, December 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-3 Macarthur
Saturday, December 24 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 Macarthur

Western Sydney currently boast the A-League's best defensive record, but we expect goals at both ends this weekend. That said, we also fancy the hosts to just about see off the threat of their visitors and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMacarthur
44.32% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 24.15% (0.081999999999997 0.08) 31.53% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 59.38% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.04% (-0.381 -0.38)42.96% (0.384 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.64% (-0.378 -0.38)65.36% (0.378 0.38)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.42% (-0.191 -0.19)19.57% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.5% (-0.311 -0.31)51.5% (0.311 0.31)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (-0.185 -0.19)26.17% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (-0.25 -0.25)61.25% (0.251 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 44.32%
    Macarthur 31.53%
    Draw 24.15%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.81% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 44.32%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.086 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.53%

How you voted: Western Sydney vs Macarthur

Western Sydney Wanderers
68.2%
Draw
18.2%
Macarthur
13.6%
22
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 7.05am
Macarthur
1-1
Western Sydney
Juric (55' pen.)
Uskok (25'), M'Mombwa (29'), Susnjar (85'), Rose (90+4')
Carluccio (10')
Gordon (14'), Koutroumbis (15'), Antonis (25'), Natta (53')
Mar 12, 2022 8.45am
Macarthur
3-1
Western Sydney
Noone (8'), Davila (73', 90+8' pen.)
Giannou (64'), Mutch (64'), Kurto (76')
Antonis (80')
Baccus (10'), Petratos (30'), Margush (90+7')
Dec 11, 2021 8.45am
Feb 6, 2021 8.10am
Dec 30, 2020 8.10am
rhs 2.0
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