Ethiopia0 - 2Egypt
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Tuesday, November 19 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
We said: Ethiopia 0-2 Egypt
Egypt head into this clash as clear favourites, having impressed in their campaign so far, while the neutral venue limits Ethiopia's home advantage. Additionally, the North Africans boast a potent attacking force, with several players in top form, which could prove too much for the opposition's defence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 70.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 9.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.21%) and 0-3 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.32%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 1-0 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Egypt in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Egypt.
| Result | ||
| Ethiopia | Draw | Egypt |
9.28% ( -0.14) | 20.47% ( -0.19) | 70.25% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 33.65% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.32% ( 0.31) | 57.68% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.56% ( 0.25) | 78.44% ( -0.24) |
| Ethiopia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.81% ( -0.12) | 60.18% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 9.25% ( -0.06) | 90.74% ( 0.06) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.51% ( 0.22) | 15.49% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.63% ( 0.4) | 44.37% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ethiopia | Draw | Egypt |
| 1-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.1% Total : 9.28% | 0-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.11) 1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.47% | 0-1 @ 17.38% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 16.21% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 10.08% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 4.7% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 70.24% |
