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Guinea national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2024 at 11pm UK
Stade 28 Septembre
Ethiopia national football team

Guinea
vs.
Ethiopia

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Guinea and Ethiopia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea 1-2 Tanzania
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-2 Congo DR
Monday, September 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Guinea win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw has a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ethiopia has a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Ethiopia win it is 0-1 (6.8%).

Result
GuineaDrawEthiopia
60.04%24.46%15.5%
Both teams to score 39.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.62%59.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.24%79.76%
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29%19.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.28%51.71%
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.55%50.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.04%84.96%
Score Analysis
    Guinea 60.03%
    Ethiopia 15.5%
    Draw 24.46%
GuineaDrawEthiopia
1-0 @ 16.14%
2-0 @ 13.11%
2-1 @ 8.97%
3-0 @ 7.1%
3-1 @ 4.86%
4-0 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 60.03%
1-1 @ 11.04%
0-0 @ 9.94%
2-2 @ 3.07%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 24.46%
0-1 @ 6.8%
1-2 @ 3.78%
0-2 @ 2.33%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 15.5%

Head to Head
Mar 27, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Ethiopia
2-3
Guinea
Markneh (34'), Jima (90+5')
Keita (4'), Moriba (42'), Guilavogui (70')
Mar 24, 2023 8.30pm
Group Stage
Guinea
2-0
Ethiopia
Kamano (39'), Bayo (73')
rhs 2.0
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