Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
Guinea4 - 1Ethiopia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guinea 1-2 Tanzania
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-2 Congo DR
Monday, September 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, September 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Guinea 2-0 Ethiopia
Guinea might have struggled in their recent matches, but they still have enough quality to overcome Ethiopia, and while we expect the visitors to put up a good fight, we are backing the hosts to emerge victorious at the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 63.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 13.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.21%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guinea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guinea | Draw | Ethiopia |
63.7% ( 0.2) | 23.19% ( -0.11) | 13.1% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 37.78% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
