World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro
Guinea-Bissau0 - 0Ethiopia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria
Monday, January 22 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Monday, January 22 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-1 Lesotho
Sunday, March 24 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, March 24 at 12pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Guinea-Bissau 1-0 Ethiopia
While both these sides are not in the best form at present, Guinea-Bissau have played significantly more competitive matches in recent times and have shown signs of improvement under the guidance of their new head coach. This could be a bit of a slow-burner but we feel the hosts will edge it by a single goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 36.36%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Ethiopia |
35.29% ( -1.38) | 28.36% ( 0.61) | 36.36% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 46.72% ( -1.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
