Friendlies 2

Aug 3, 2023 at 12am UK

Petra Field

Ethiopia
2 - 0
Guyana

Bekele (11', 76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 2 clash between Ethiopia and Guyana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ethiopia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Malawi
Tuesday, June 20 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Guyana

All competitions

Last Game: Guyana 0-0 Montserrat
Wednesday, March 29 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua and Barbuda	0	0	0
2	Guyana	0	0	0
3	Puerto Rico	0	0	0
4	Bahamas	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Guyana had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Guyana win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ethiopia would win this match.

Result
Ethiopia	Draw	Guyana
66.67% ( 22.71)	20.54% ( -1.93)	12.8% ( -20.78)

Both teams to score 43.98% (

-22.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.05% (

-16.02)

49.95% (

16.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.07% (

-16.15)

71.93% (

16.15)

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.89% (

1.99)

14.11% (

-2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.27% (

3.77)

41.73% (

-3.77)

Guyana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.21% (

-28.12)

48.79% (

28.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.19% (

-30.54)

83.81% (

30.54)

Score Analysis

Ethiopia 66.66%

Guyana 12.8%

Draw 20.54%

Ethiopia	Draw	Guyana
1-0 @ 13.48% ( 7.4) 2-0 @ 13.2% ( 7.65) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.72) 3-0 @ 8.62% ( 5.24) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.86) 4-0 @ 4.22% ( 2.68) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.6) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -1.98) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( 1.09) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.3) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.83) Other @ 2.32% Total : 66.66%	1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 3.55) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( -3.5) Other @ 0.58% Total : 20.54%	0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -4.08) 0-2 @ 1.77% ( -2.36) Other @ 2.62% Total : 12.8%