MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 15:10:47| >> :60:377:377:
LA Galaxy
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Conference Semi-Finals
Nov 24, 2024 at 11.15pm UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
Minnesota United

LA Galaxy
6 - 2
Minnesota Utd

Pec (1', 50'), Joveljic (18', 89'), Paintsil (37', 86')
Paintsil (45'), Puig (58'), Delgado (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Yeboah (6', 45+4' pen.)
Hlongwane (53'), Dotson (62'), Abel Diaz Beleno (68')
Abel Diaz Beleno (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 1-4 LA Galaxy
Saturday, November 2 at 1.30am in MLS Playoffs

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0 Minnesota United

For as compact as Minnesota have been down the stretch of the season, the Galaxy have a plethora of attacking talent to call upon, which we believe will ultimately be too much for the Loons to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 58.47%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.96% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawMinnesota United
58.47% (-0.55 -0.55) 19.58% (0.185 0.19) 21.96% (0.368 0.37)
Both teams to score 67.07% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.96% (-0.42100000000001 -0.42)29.04% (0.423 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.97% (-0.518 -0.52)50.03% (0.52 0.52)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.01% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)9.99% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67% (-0.60199999999999 -0.6)32.99% (0.605 0.61)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (0.043999999999997 0.04)25.49% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.66% (0.056999999999995 0.06)60.33% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 58.47%
    Minnesota United 21.96%
    Draw 19.58%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.87% (0.078 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.19% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.09% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.99% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.79% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.88% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.38% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 58.47%
1-1 @ 8.02% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.55% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 2.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 19.58%
1-2 @ 5.48% (0.086 0.09)
0-1 @ 3.48% (0.089 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 21.96%

How you voted: LA Galaxy vs Minnesota Utd

Los Angeles Galaxy
93.3%
Draw
3.3%
Minnesota United
3.3%
30
Head to Head
Jul 8, 2024 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Minnesota Utd
Pec (25', 90')
Nelson (20'), Puig (22')
Pukki (73')
Sang-bin (89')
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
5-2
LA Galaxy
Dotson (33'), Pukki (45', 60', 67', 76')
Boyd (41'), Joveljic (82')
Yoshida (50')
Sep 21, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
4-3
Minnesota Utd
Sharp (16', 63', 71'), Fagundez (82')
Boyd (54'), Sharp (67'), Delgado (81'), Edwards (90+1')
Pukki (19'), Hlongwane (41', 45+5')
Tapias (27'), Gregus (28'), Boxall (29'), Briston (54'), Tajouri (88')
Briston (74')
rhs 2.0
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