Minnesota Utd4 - 1St Louis City
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
for
Sunday, October 6 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: Minnesota United 2-1 St Louis City
While St Louis are ending the season quite well, it is a case of too little too late for last season's top seeds. Minnesota beat this opponent fairly comfortably 3-1 just over a month ago, and we feel the hosts will notch up another victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 60.78%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 19.91% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.47%) and 3-1 (7.28%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | St Louis City |
60.78% ( -0.33) | 19.31% ( 0.08) | 19.91% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 64.67% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.3% ( -0.02) | 30.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.97% ( -0.03) | 52.02% ( 0.03) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.08% ( -0.09) | 9.92% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.15% ( -0.2) | 32.84% ( 0.2) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.8% ( 0.21) | 28.2% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.1% ( 0.26) | 63.89% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 60.78% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 19.31% | 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 19.91% |
