World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Colombia2 - 2Paraguay
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brazil 2-1 Colombia
Friday, March 21 at 12.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, March 21 at 12.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Paraguay 1-0 Chile
Thursday, March 20 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Thursday, March 20 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Colombia 2-1 Paraguay
Colombia will present a much stiffer attacking challenge you would think for Paraguay, and we expect the home side's talent and experience will help them defeat a compact defensive unit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 13.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.82%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Paraguay |
64.25% ( -0.5) | 22.46% ( 0.35) | 13.29% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 40.02% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.84% ( -0.95) | 56.16% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.78% ( -0.77) | 77.22% ( 0.77) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.03% ( -0.5) | 16.97% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.92% ( -0.9) | 47.08% ( 0.9) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.2% ( -0.34) | 51.8% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.13% ( -0.22) | 85.88% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Colombia 64.24%
Paraguay 13.29%
Draw 22.45%
| Colombia | Draw | Paraguay |
| 1-0 @ 15.59% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 13.82% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.12% Total : 64.24% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.45% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.37% 0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 13.29% |
How you voted: Colombia vs Paraguay
Colombia
70.0%Draw
14.4%Paraguay
15.6%90
Head to Head
Jun 24, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Colombia
2-1
Paraguay
Nov 21, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
0-1
Colombia
Nov 20, 2022 1.20am
International Friendly
Colombia
2-0
Paraguay
Nov 16, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Colombia
0-0
Paraguay
Sep 5, 2021 11pm
