MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:27:49| >> :120:12524:12524:
Colombia national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 24, 2024 at 11pm UK
NRG Stadium
Paraguay national football team

Colombia
2 - 1
Paraguay

Munoz (32'), Lerma (42')
Lerma (14')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Enciso (69')
Velazquez (53'), Cubas (78'), Oscar Garnero (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Copa America clash between Colombia and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Colombia 3-0 Bolivia
Saturday, June 15 at 10pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Paraguay
Sunday, June 16 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Colombia 1-0 Paraguay

The Colombians are just as sharp defensively as Paraguay, and we believe their experience and momentum will be enough to grind out a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
ColombiaDrawParaguay
50.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 27.69% (0.055 0.05) 21.89% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Both teams to score 41.35% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.28% (-0.19 -0.19)62.72% (0.19 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.73% (-0.14 -0.14)82.26% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)25.2% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.07% (-0.133 -0.13)59.93% (0.133 0.13)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.28% (-0.148 -0.15)44.72% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.29% (-0.118 -0.12)80.71% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Colombia 50.41%
    Paraguay 21.89%
    Draw 27.69%
ColombiaDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 15.53% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.7% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.92% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 50.41%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.26% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 9.07% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0099999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.89%

How you voted: Colombia vs Paraguay

Colombia
87.1%
Draw
9.3%
Paraguay
3.6%
194
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
0-1
Colombia

Jose Caceres (24'), Caballero (90+2')
Borre (11' pen.)
Arias (45'), Mina (45+1'), Munoz (69'), Cordoba (83')
Nov 20, 2022 1.20am
International Friendly
Colombia
2-0
Paraguay
Nov 16, 2021 11pm
Sep 5, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
1-1
Colombia
Sanabria (40')
Cuadrado (53' pen.)
Jun 23, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Colombia
1-0
Paraguay
Cuellar (31')
Borja (29'), Lucumi (42')

Arzamendia (49')
rhs 2.0
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