Paraguay1 - 0Bolivia
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, October 13 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, October 13 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Paraguay 2-1 Bolivia
With both sides sitting in the bottom three positions after making slow starts to the qualifying campaign, this already feels like a must-win match if they are to have a genuine chance of reaching the World Cup in less than three years' time. As such, we expect to see a more entertaining encounter than may ordinarily be expected, with Paraguay hoping to let loose having failed to score in their opening three games. We are predicting a narrow home victory, meaning Bolivia's losing streak would continue. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 70.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 9.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.34%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paraguay in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paraguay.
| Result | ||
| Paraguay | Draw | Bolivia |
70.98% ( 1.02) | 19.41% ( -0.66) | 9.61% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 37.35% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
