Arsenal5 - 0Crystal Palace
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, December 18 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
for
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Women's Super League
We said: Arsenal Women 3-0 Crystal Palace Women
Slegers will be keen to claim a win in her first game since being confirmed as Arsenal's permanent head coach, and we think the Gunners will deliver the perfect result by easing to victory over relegation-threatened Palace, especially as the hosts have won each of their last five competitive home matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 85.06%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Crystal Palace Women had a probability of 4.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 4-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a Crystal Palace Women win it was 0-1 (1.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Crystal Palace Women |
85.06% ( 0.64) | 10.13% ( -0.45) | 4.81% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 45.44% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.06% ( 1.62) | 27.94% ( -1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.33% ( 1.99) | 48.67% ( -1.99) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.45% ( 0.4) | 4.55% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 81.38% ( 1.2) | 18.62% ( -1.2) |
| Crystal Palace Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.61% ( 0.65) | 52.39% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.74% ( 0.42) | 86.26% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Crystal Palace Women |
| 3-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.47)4-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.52)2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.19)5-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.22)5-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.21)6-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.1)6-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.16)7-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.12)5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.09)Other @ 4.01% Total : 85.05% | 1-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.6% Total : 10.13% | 0-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.73% Total : 4.82% |
