National League South | Gameweek 39
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium
Worthing3 - 0Hemel Hemps.
Cashman (30'), Babalola (45+1'), Nash (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Hemel Hempstead Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aveley 1-2 Worthing
Monday, March 10 at 7.45pm in National League South
Monday, March 10 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
61
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-1 Hornchurch
Monday, March 10 at 7.45pm in National League South
Monday, March 10 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
57
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 63.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
63.06% ( 0.17) | 21.12% ( -0.08) | 15.82% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.72% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.67% ( 0.16) | 46.34% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.38% ( 0.15) | 68.62% ( -0.15) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.94% ( 0.11) | 14.06% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.36% ( 0.2) | 41.65% ( -0.2) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.85% ( -0.02) | 42.15% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.44% ( -0.02) | 78.57% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Worthing 63.05%
Hemel Hempstead Town 15.82%
Draw 21.12%
| Worthing | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 63.05% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.12% | 0-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 15.82% |
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
