National League South | Gameweek 46
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium
Worthing3 - 1Hemel Hempstead
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Hemel Hempstead Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cheshunt 0-2 Worthing
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
89
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
48
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.21% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 1-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
56.79% ( -0.41) | 21.01% ( 0.09) | 22.21% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 61.96% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.23% ( 0.02) | 35.77% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.16% ( 0.02) | 57.85% ( -0.02) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.45% ( -0.11) | 12.54% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.41% ( -0.24) | 38.59% ( 0.24) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.85% ( 0.3) | 29.15% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.91% ( 0.36) | 65.09% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Worthing 56.79%
Hemel Hempstead Town 22.21%
Draw 21.01%
| Worthing | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.2% Total : 56.79% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.66% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.01% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.18% Total : 22.21% |
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
