MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 01:56:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 24
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hemps.
2 - 0
Worthing

Williams (45+1'), Whittaker (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slough 2-0 Hemel Hemps.
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 5-1 Maidstone
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Worthing win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawWorthing
36.66% (0.203 0.2) 26.68% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 36.65% (-0.265 -0.27)
Both teams to score 51.95% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.93% (-0.267 -0.27)53.07% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (-0.225 -0.22)74.65% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)27.92% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)63.54% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (-0.282 -0.28)27.93% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45% (-0.363 -0.36)63.55% (0.366 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 36.66%
    Worthing 36.65%
    Draw 26.68%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawWorthing
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.103 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 36.66%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.082 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.95% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 36.65%

Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Worthing
1-1
Hemel Hemps.
Colbran (82')
Iaciofano (50')
Krasniqi (66')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Worthing
3-1
Hemel Hemps.
Dabre (29'), Pearce (33' pen.), Wills (42')
Grant (45+2')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Hemel Hemps.
1-1
Worthing
Melvin-Lambert (28' pen.)
Pearce (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd23128335211444
2Boreham WoodBoreham Wood23127439182143
3Maidstone UnitedMaidstone23119338211742
4Truro CityTruro City23126536211542
5Worthing2312653631542
6Dorking WanderersDorking24117650331740
7Weston-super-MareWeston23117535251040
8Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne2311753026440
9Farnborough TownFarnborough2311483534137
10Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels229852925435
11Slough TownSlough2397741301134
12Hampton & RichmondHampton238873124732
13AFC HornchurchHornchurch238872524132
14Chelmsford CityChelmsford City227873632429
15Chesham UnitedChesham228593136-529
16Chippenham TownChippenham2384112831-328
17Salisbury2367103134-325
18Bath City2374122129-825
19Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.2374122946-1725
20Welling UnitedWelling United2373132441-1724
21Aveley2344152643-1716
22Enfield Town2343162249-2715
23St Albans CitySt Albans City2228122238-1614
24Weymouth2228121432-1814


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