Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Newcastle Jets has a probability of 29.86% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win is 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.9%).