Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 19, 2024 at 10.45am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Newcastle Jets1 - 1Wellington
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, April 13 at 8.30am in Australian A-League
Saturday, April 13 at 8.30am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Victory
Friday, April 12 at 8am in Australian A-League
Friday, April 12 at 8am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
38
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
44.7% ( 0.15) | 22.6% ( -0.02) | 32.7% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 65.63% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.01% ( 0.04) | 34.98% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.03% ( 0.04) | 56.97% ( -0.04) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.76% ( 0.07) | 16.24% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.25% ( 0.13) | 45.75% ( -0.13) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( -0.05) | 21.65% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.22% ( -0.09) | 54.77% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets 44.7%
Wellington Phoenix 32.7%
Draw 22.6%
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.71% Total : 44.7% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 32.7% |
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 7am
Gameweek 14
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Wellington
Dec 9, 2023 6.30am
Gameweek 7
Wellington
0-3
Newcastle Jets
Mar 4, 2023 2am
Oct 22, 2022 7am
Mar 18, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 19
Newcastle Jets
4-0
Wellington
Form Guide
