World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 5pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
Cyprus2 - 0San Marino
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Romania 4-1 Cyprus
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Liechtenstein 1-3 San Marino
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Cyprus 3-1 San Marino
San Marino will be full of confidence entering this match, and we are expecting them to get their name on the scoresheet on Friday evening, but Cyprus should be able to claim an important three points on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cyprus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cyprus | Draw | San Marino |
55.62% ( 2.63) | 24.69% ( -0.76) | 19.69% ( -1.87) |
| Both teams to score 46.28% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.27% ( 0.76) | 54.73% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.95% ( 0.63) | 76.04% ( -0.63) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% ( 1.36) | 19.61% ( -1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.44% ( 2.17) | 51.56% ( -2.17) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% ( -1.56) | 42.43% ( 1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.2% ( -1.37) | 78.8% ( 1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Cyprus 55.61%
San Marino 19.69%
Draw 24.69%
| Cyprus | Draw | San Marino |
| 1-0 @ 13.55% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.59)2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 6% ( 0.55)3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.68% Total : 55.61% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.37)1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.69% |
How you voted: Cyprus vs San Marino
Cyprus
88.8%Draw
5.0%San Marino
6.3%80
Form Guide
