Nations League | League C
Sep 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
Cyprus0 - 4Kosovo
Form, Standings, Stats
Nations League
Last Game: Lithuania 0-1 Cyprus
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Nations League
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Nations League
We said: Cyprus 1-1 Kosovo
Kosovo have had great difficulty in recent years at performing when being the favourites to win, especially in Euro 2024 qualifying, and they could be in for a frustrating evening against a rejuvenated Cyprus side. The hosts ended a five-year wait for an away win on Friday, and they have been strong at home in previous editions of the Nations League, so cannot be underestimated here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 64.38%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.39%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cyprus | Draw | Kosovo |
13.62% ( 0.63) | 21.99% ( 0.47) | 64.38% ( -1.1) |
| Both teams to score 42.04% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
