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World Cup
United Arab Emirates national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 14, 2024 at 12am UK
 
Kyrgyzstan national football team

UAE
vs.
Kyrgyzstan

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between United Arab Emirates and Kyrgyzstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

All competitions
Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-0 UAE
Tuesday, October 15 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: UAE vs. Qatar
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Kyrgyzstan

All competitions
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 1-0 North Korea
Tuesday, October 15 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Kyrgyzstan vs. Iran
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: United Arab Emirates 2-1 Kyrgyzstan

 UAE have struggled for victories at home in recent games, but they have previously boasted a good record at Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium. Should the hosts rediscover their home form, it is difficult to see how Kyrgyzstan avoid defeat, especially given their poor away record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
United Arab EmiratesDrawKyrgyzstan
58.09% (-10.937 -10.94) 23.03% (3.893 3.89) 18.88% (7.044 7.04)
Both teams to score 49.79% (4.371 4.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (-2.968 -2.97)49.35% (2.968 2.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-2.733 -2.73)71.4% (2.733 2.73)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (-4.381 -4.38)16.7% (4.38 4.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.4% (-8.47 -8.47)46.6% (8.471 8.47)
Kyrgyzstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.78% (7.973 7.97)40.22% (-7.973 -7.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.15% (6.52 6.52)76.85% (-6.521 -6.52)
Score Analysis
    United Arab Emirates 58.09%
    Kyrgyzstan 18.88%
    Draw 23.03%
United Arab EmiratesDrawKyrgyzstan
1-0 @ 12.02% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-0 @ 10.75% (-2.26 -2.26)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.296 0.3)
3-0 @ 6.42% (-2.666 -2.67)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.787 -0.79)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-1.883 -1.88)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.241 0.24)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.856 -0.86)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.964 -0.96)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.517 -0.52)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 58.09%
1-1 @ 10.95% (1.873 1.87)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.779 0.78)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.994 0.99)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 6.12% (1.783 1.78)
1-2 @ 4.99% (1.674 1.67)
0-2 @ 2.79% (1.204 1.2)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.708 0.71)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.511 0.51)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 18.88%

How you voted: UAE vs Kyrgyzstan

United Arab Emirates
79.3%
Draw
10.3%
Kyrgyzstan
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 3.15pm
Friendlies 2
UAE
1-0
Kyrgyzstan
Mabkhout (90+1' pen.)
Saleh (71')

Alykulov (37'), Tokotaev (63'), Sagynbaev (74'), Duyshobekov (75')
Alykulov (47')
rhs 2.0
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