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World Cup
Qatar national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium
Kyrgyzstan national football team

Qatar
vs.
Kyrgyzstan

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Qatar and Kyrgyzstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions
Last Game: North Korea 2-2 Qatar
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Iran vs. Qatar
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Kyrgyzstan

All competitions
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 2-3 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, September 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Kyrgyzstan vs. North Korea
Tuesday, October 15 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Qatar 3-1 Kyrgyzstan

 While Kyrgyzstan have proven to be difficult opponents in their first two AFC third round qualifying fixtures, Qatar are the stronger side coming into the game and will be desperate for their first victory, leading us to believe the hosts will win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 63.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 15.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
QatarDrawKyrgyzstan
63.57% (-3.778 -3.78) 21.12% (1.633 1.63) 15.31% (2.151 2.15)
Both teams to score 48.56% (0.297 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (-2.539 -2.54)47.27% (2.545 2.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.5% (-2.404 -2.4)69.5% (2.412 2.41)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8% (-1.891 -1.89)14.2% (1.897 1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.07% (-3.831 -3.83)41.93% (3.837 3.84)
Kyrgyzstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.61% (1.564 1.56)43.39% (-1.558 -1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.38% (1.277 1.28)79.62% (-1.271 -1.27)
Score Analysis
    Qatar 63.56%
    Kyrgyzstan 15.31%
    Draw 21.11%
QatarDrawKyrgyzstan
1-0 @ 12.03% (0.44 0.44)
2-0 @ 11.73% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 7.64% (-0.841 -0.84)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.404 -0.4)
4-0 @ 3.73% (-0.714 -0.71)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.44 -0.44)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.406 -0.41)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.121 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.273 -0.27)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 63.56%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.773 0.77)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.631 0.63)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 21.11%
0-1 @ 5.15% (0.722 0.72)
1-2 @ 4.19% (0.487 0.49)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.38 0.38)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.179 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 15.31%

How you voted: Qatar vs Kyrgyzstan

Qatar
75.5%
Draw
17.0%
Kyrgyzstan
7.5%
53
Head to Head
Dec 25, 2018 5pm
International Friendlies
Qatar
1-0
Kyrgyzstan
Afif (69')
rhs 2.0
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