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Champions League
Monaco
Champions League | League Stage
Nov 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Benfica

Monaco
2 - 3
Benfica

Ben Seghir (13'), Magassa (67')
Zakaria (41'), Kehrer (41'), Singo (42'), Mawissa (79')
Singo (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pavlidis (48'), Cabral (84'), Amdouni (88')
Luis (5'), Fernandez (29'), Akturkoglu (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Monaco and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Monaco 3-2 Brest
Friday, November 22 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Benfica

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 7-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, November 23 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Monaco 1-1 Benfica

 Monaco are winless in their last three home games against Portuguese clubs, and even though their form at the Stade Louis II has been brilliant, and they sit third in the 36-team standings, it will be a difficult test. That is because Benfica's recent performances have given plenty for them to be confident about, frustrating Bayern for large periods, thrashing Porto, and entering seventh heaven at the weekend, so they will feel they can take something here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
MonacoDrawBenfica
37.86% (-2.467 -2.47) 24.53% (0.694 0.69) 37.61% (1.779 1.78)
Both teams to score 59.5% (-2.434 -2.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.58% (-3.22 -3.22)43.42% (3.225 3.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.19% (-3.247 -3.25)65.82% (3.252 3.25)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.2% (-2.608 -2.61)22.8% (2.612 2.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.5% (-4.012 -4.01)56.51% (4.017 4.02)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-0.529 -0.53)22.93% (0.533 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (-0.788 -0.79)56.7% (0.793 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 37.86%
    Benfica 37.61%
    Draw 24.53%
MonacoDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.246 -0.25)
1-0 @ 7.73% (0.494 0.49)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.472 -0.47)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.402 -0.4)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.271 -0.27)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.315 -0.32)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.253 -0.25)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.194 -0.19)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.86%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.56 0.56)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.283 -0.28)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.706 0.71)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.225 -0.23)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 8.38% (0.284 0.28)
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.934 0.93)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.608 0.61)
1-3 @ 4.12% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.259 0.26)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.61%

How you voted: Monaco vs Benfica

Monaco
47.5%
Draw
27.5%
Benfica
25.0%
244
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2014 7.45pm
Group Stage
Benfica
1-0
Monaco
> Match Report
Oct 22, 2014 7.45pm
Group Stage
Monaco
0-0
Benfica
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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