MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 09:50:39| >> :600:369995:369995:
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Champions League
Bayern logo
Champions League | League Stage
Nov 6, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Allianz Arena
Benfica

Bayern
1 - 0
Benfica

Musiala (67')
Musiala (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kabore (26'), Kokcu (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Benfica

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Farense 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, November 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Benfica

 Benfica have let in at least two goals in each of their last five Champions League games with Bayern Munich, who have been in free-scoring mode since being left battered and bruised by Barcelona. Expect that trend to continue at the Allianz Arena, where Kompany's men should not emerge unscathed on the defensive front but will surely possess too much firepower for Lage's troops. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBenfica
46.52% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35) 23.91% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 29.57% (0.295 0.3)
Both teams to score 59.13% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.19% (-0.067 -0.07)42.8% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)65.21% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (-0.166 -0.17)18.59% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.13% (-0.278 -0.28)49.87% (0.278 0.28)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (0.163 0.16)27.36% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (0.212 0.21)62.83% (-0.213 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 46.52%
    Benfica 29.57%
    Draw 23.91%
Bayern MunichDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.2% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 46.52%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.049 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Bayern vs Benfica

Bayern Munich
82.6%
Draw
9.7%
Benfica
7.6%
340
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
5-2
Benfica
Lewandowski (26', 61', 84'), Gnabry (32'), Sane (49')
Upamecano (51'), Kouassi (69')
Morato (38'), Nunez (74')
Verissimo (45')
> Preview
Oct 20, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-4
Bayern

Otamendi (45'), Mario (51')
Sane (70', 84'), Everton (80' og.), Lewandowski (82')
Upamecano (56'), Hernandez (59')
> Preview
Nov 27, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
5-1
Benfica
Robben (13', 30'), Lewandowski (36', 51'), Ribery (76')
Robben (24'), Ribery (33')
Fernandes (46')
Semedo (87')
Sep 19, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-2
Bayern

Fejsa (22'), Jardel (39')
Lewandowski (10'), Sanches (54')
Kimmich (18'), Hummels (52')
Apr 13, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
2-2
Bayern
> Match Report
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