MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 14:37:11| >> :120:17250:17250:
Aston Villa logo
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Bayern logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Bayern

Duran (79')
Maatsen (90+1'), Carlos (90+4'), Duran (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Upamecano (21'), Gnabry (66')

The Match

Match Report

Jhon Duran scores his fifth goal of the season from the bench to help Aston Villa claim a memorable 1-0 Champions League win over Bayern Munich at Villa Park.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Aston Villa and Bayern Munich.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Aston Villa and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Aston Villa could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.65%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBayern Munich
22.61% (1.966 1.97) 19.73% (0.81 0.81) 57.65% (-2.775 -2.78)
Both teams to score 67.43% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.03% (-1.336 -1.34)28.97% (1.338 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.06% (-1.653 -1.65)49.93% (1.655 1.66)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.774 0.77)24.94% (-0.772 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (1.059 1.06)59.57% (-1.058 -1.06)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.83% (-1.056 -1.06)10.16% (1.058 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.6% (-2.475 -2.47)33.4% (2.476 2.48)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 22.61%
    Bayern Munich 57.65%
    Draw 19.73%
Aston VillaDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.59% (0.414 0.41)
1-0 @ 3.52% (0.341 0.34)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.59% (0.244 0.24)
2-0 @ 2.44% (0.285 0.29)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.153 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 22.61%
1-1 @ 8.05% (0.428 0.43)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.188 0.19)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.193 0.19)
3-3 @ 2.25% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.73%
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 7.01% (-0.281 -0.28)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.186 0.19)
0-3 @ 5.05% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-3 @ 4.87% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-4 @ 4.01% (-0.361 -0.36)
0-4 @ 2.89% (-0.331 -0.33)
2-4 @ 2.78% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-5 @ 1.83% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-5 @ 1.32% (-0.222 -0.22)
3-4 @ 1.29% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-5 @ 1.27% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 57.65%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Bayern

Aston Villa
17.6%
Draw
11.9%
Bayern Munich
70.5%
545
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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