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Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
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Werder Bremen
0 - 5
Bayern

FT(HT: 0-2)
Olise (23', 60'), Musiala (32'), Kane (57'), Gnabry (65')
Laimer (38'), Pavlovic (77'), Upamecano (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 9-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Werder Bremen 0-3 Bayern Munich

 Though Werder Bremen have proven capable defensively this season, it is difficult to see them keeping a clean sheet given the rampant form of the visitors in front of goal. Fresh from their win in the Champions League, Bayern will be full of confidence and should be strong favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-3 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
15.49% (0.173 0.17) 17.4% (0.115 0.11) 67.11% (-0.28 -0.28)
Both teams to score 62.58% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.65% (-0.184 -0.18)29.35% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.59% (-0.227 -0.23)50.4% (0.233 0.23)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11% (0.081000000000003 0.08)31.88% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (0.09 0.09)68.33% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.87% (-0.101 -0.1)8.13% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.47% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)28.53% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 15.49%
    Bayern Munich 67.11%
    Draw 17.4%
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.25% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 2.96% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.69% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.62% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 15.49%
1-1 @ 7.44% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.59% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.4%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 7.81% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.83% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-4 @ 4.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 2.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.46% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-5 @ 2.15% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
1-6 @ 1.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 67.11%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Bayern

Werder Bremen
12.3%
Draw
6.1%
Bayern Munich
81.6%
114
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Bayern
0-1
Werder Bremen

Kimmich (17'), de Ligt (74')
Weiser (59')
Schmid (70')
> Preview
Aug 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Werder Bremen
0-4
Bayern

Ducksch (20'), Lynen (56')
Sane (4', 90'), Kane (74'), Tel (90+4')
Min-jae (55')
> Preview
May 6, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Werder Bremen
1-2
Bayern
Schmidt (87')
Gnabry (62'), Sane (72')
> Preview
Nov 8, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Bayern
6-1
Werder Bremen
Musiala (6'), Gnabry (22', 28', 82'), Goretzka (26'), Tel (84')
Jung (10')
> Match Report
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Werder Bremen
1-3
Bayern
Fullkrug (86')
Sargent (70')
Goretzka (22'), Gnabry (35'), Lewandowski (67')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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