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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 79.36%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 7.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Werder Bremen |
79.36% ( -0.14) | 12.79% ( 0.07) | 7.86% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.43% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.96% ( -0.16) | 28.05% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.2% ( -0.2) | 48.8% ( 0.2) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.48% ( -0.06) | 5.52% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.48% ( -0.16) | 21.52% ( 0.16) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.56% ( 0.02) | 43.45% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.34% ( 0.02) | 79.67% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 8.1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.93% Total : 79.36% | 1-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 12.79% | 1-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 7.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 26 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
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