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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Werder Bremen logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Werder Bremen

Sesko (61')
Henrichs (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Seiwald (35' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 RB Leipzig
Friday, May 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 2-0 Werder Bremen

Leipzig have conceded one goal in their last six Bundesliga games at Red Bull Arena, scored by Dortmund's Jadon Sancho at the backend of April, a game the Red Bulls won 4-1. Despite securing Champions League football, Rose should expect his in-form side to claim maximum points to continue their unbeaten results since losing to Bayern in February. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 79.36%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawWerder Bremen
79.36% (-0.14 -0.14) 12.79% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 7.86% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.96% (-0.161 -0.16)28.05% (0.159 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.2% (-0.2 -0.2)48.8% (0.197 0.2)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.48% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)5.52% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.48% (-0.161 -0.16)21.52% (0.157 0.16)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.56% (0.017000000000003 0.02)43.45% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.34% (0.015000000000001 0.02)79.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 79.36%
    Werder Bremen 7.86%
    Draw 12.79%
RB LeipzigDrawWerder Bremen
2-0 @ 10.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 7.03% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.95% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.86% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 4.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 3.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.93%
Total : 79.36%
1-1 @ 5.79% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.4% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 12.79%
1-2 @ 2.42% (0.017 0.02)
0-1 @ 2% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 7.86%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen

RB Leipzig
81.7%
Draw
13.3%
Werder Bremen
5.0%
60
Head to Head
Dec 19, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Werder Bremen
1-1
RB Leipzig
Njinmah (75')
Gross (59'), Bittencourt (66'), Njinmah (84'), Ducksch (90+1')
Openda (47')
Kampl (68'), Haidara (90+1')
May 14, 2023 4.30pm
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Werder Bremen
1-2
RB Leipzig
Gross (57')
Silva (13'), Schlager (71')
Apr 30, 2021 7.30pm
Semi-Finals
Werder Bremen
1-2
RB Leipzig
Bittencourt (105+1')
Hee-chan (93'), Forsberg (120+1')
Haidara (35'), Kampl (99'), Gulacsi (101')
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Werder Bremen
1-4
RB Leipzig
Rashica (61' pen.)
Olmo (23'), Sorloth (32', 41'), Sabitzer (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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