MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:42:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Leipzig logo

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
RB Leipzig

Gross (57')
Stark (81'), Werner (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Silva (13'), Schlager (71')
Haidara (21'), Rose (41'), Forsberg (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 RB Leipzig

The potential absence of Fullkrug through injury is undoubtedly a huge blow to Bremen, with his partnership with Marvin Ducksch in attack undoubtedly the main factor for their side's surprisingly superb form this season. As such, we can envisage Leipzig edging a fourth consecutive league win to ensure that they head into the World Cup break occupying a Champions League qualification spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawRB Leipzig
23.82% (0.096 0.1) 21.65% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 54.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 61.8% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.07% (0.194 0.19)36.93% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.89% (0.211 0.21)59.11% (-0.205 -0.2)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (0.181 0.18)28.47% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (0.227 0.23)64.24% (-0.221 -0.22)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.4% (0.046999999999997 0.05)13.6% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.27% (0.088999999999999 0.09)40.74% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 23.82%
    RB Leipzig 54.53%
    Draw 21.65%
Werder BremenDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.1% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.87% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.06% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-1 @ 2.55% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.28% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 23.82%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.65%
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.71% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 6.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 5.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.04% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.21% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.02% (0.014 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 54.53%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig

Werder Bremen
21.9%
Draw
4.7%
RB Leipzig
73.4%
64
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2021 7.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-2
RB Leipzig
Bittencourt (105+1')
Hee-chan (93'), Forsberg (120+1')
Haidara (35'), Kampl (99'), Gulacsi (101')
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-4
RB Leipzig
Rashica (61' pen.)
Olmo (23'), Sorloth (32', 41'), Sabitzer (63')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Werder Bremen
Sabitzer (26' pen.), Olmo (41')
Kampl (44'), Mukiele (47'), Upamecano (78')
Feb 15, 2020 2.30pm
Sep 21, 2019 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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