Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 12

Oct 28, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
1 - 0
Hertha Berlin

Fullkrug (85')
Weiser (55'), Stark (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kanga (17'), Lukebakio (44'), Serdar (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Schalke
Sunday, October 23 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Werder Bremen 2-2 Hertha Berlin

We can envisage an entertaining encounter at the Weserstadion on Friday night, especially if Hertha continue with the 4-2-2-2 system which they deployed for their win against Schalke last weekend. That would mean both teams playing with two out-and-out strikers, with a score draw arguably the most likely outcome given Bremen's drop-off in form in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 55.83%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Hertha Berlin
55.83% ( 0)	21.7%	22.47% ( -0)

Both teams to score 59.82% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.25% (

0.01)

38.75% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.94% (

0.01)

61.06% (

-0.01)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.19% (

13.81% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.84% (

0.01)

41.15% (

-0.01)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.4% (

30.6% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.17% (

0.01)

66.83% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 55.83%

Hertha Berlin 22.47%

Draw 21.7%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Hertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.81% 1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.46% 3-2 @ 3.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.9% 5-1 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 55.83%	1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.7%	1-2 @ 5.87% 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.86% Total : 22.47%