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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
29.38% ( -0.4) | 23.91% ( -0.01) | 46.71% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 59.01% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.09% ( -0.19) | 42.91% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.69% ( -0.19) | 65.31% ( 0.19) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.45% ( -0.37) | 27.55% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.94% ( -0.48) | 63.06% ( 0.48) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.44% ( 0.09) | 18.56% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.19% ( 0.15) | 49.81% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.38% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 46.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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