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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Hoffenheim logo

Dortmund
1 - 0
Hoffenheim

Reus (16')
Reus (57'), Bellingham (57'), Hummels (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Skov (35'), Vogt (57'), Kabak (64'), Kramaric (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-1 Dortmund
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Hoffenheim

Last Six:
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-0 Augsburg
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Hoffenheim

 Five of the last six domestic contests between these sides at Westfalenstadion have been decided by a goal or fewer, and we anticipate a close game between two teams who have usually been able to be pretty tidy at the back. Dortmund will have a slight edge because of their resilience after losing a home fixture, plus their overall experience and quality seems to be just a little greater than their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.49%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 1-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
58.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 20.58% (0.0019999999999989 0) 20.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.57% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.58% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)35.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.54% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)57.46% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.05% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)11.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)37.34% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)30.07% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.8% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)66.2% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 58.49%
    Hoffenheim 20.93%
    Draw 20.58%
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.63% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.74% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.56%
5-0 @ 1.3%
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 58.49%
1-1 @ 9.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.59% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.58%
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 20.93%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Hoffenheim

Borussia Dortmund
70.8%
Draw
18.5%
Hoffenheim
10.7%
178
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (45+1'), Rutter (77')
Rudy (66'), Dabour (90+3')
Braut Haaland (6'), Reus (58'), Raum (66' og.)
Hummels (49'), Bellingham (90+5')
Aug 27, 2021 7.30pm
Dortmund
3-2
Hoffenheim
Reyna (49'), Bellingham (69'), Braut Haaland (90+1')
Dahoud (36'), Meunier (54')
Baumgartner (61'), Dabour (90')
Baumgartner (1'), Posch (7'), Geiger (20')
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-2
Hoffenheim
Sancho (24'), Braut Haaland (81')
Delaney (21'), Akanji (67')
Dabour (31'), Bebou (51')
Rudy (27'), Grillitsch (57'), Vogt (59'), Posch (60'), Samassekou (65'), Dabour (85'), Gacinovic (90+2')
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
0-1
Dortmund

Posch (58')
Reus (76')
Reyna (90')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dortmund
0-4
Hoffenheim
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201
> Bundesliga Full Table


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