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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Dortmund logo

Hertha Berlin
0 - 1
Dortmund


Richter (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Modeste (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

Last Six:
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Hertha Berlin
Friday, August 19 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:
Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

 We expect Dortmund to bounce back with a victory on Saturday, with a potential change in formation likely to suit their set of players. Defensively, they were too wide open considering that they had a two-goal lead against Bremen, so they should have a better balance and too much overall strength for a struggling Hertha side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 14.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 0-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
14.93% (0.296 0.3) 18% (0.131 0.13) 67.08% (-0.425 -0.42)
Both teams to score 58.63% (0.30099999999999 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.37% (0.025000000000006 0.03)33.63% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)55.44% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.62% (0.39700000000001 0.4)35.38% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.86% (0.409 0.41)72.14% (-0.408 -0.41)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.73% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)9.26% (0.091099999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.69% (-0.217 -0.22)31.3% (0.219 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 14.93%
    Borussia Dortmund 67.08%
    Draw 18%
Hertha BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.21% (0.068 0.07)
1-0 @ 3.41% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 1.77% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.46% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 14.93%
1-1 @ 8.1% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18%
1-2 @ 9.64% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.28% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 7.36% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 4.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.38% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.97% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.36% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.08% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-5 @ 1.12%
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 67.08%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Dortmund

Hertha Berlin
9.7%
Draw
11.3%
Borussia Dortmund
79.0%
62
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-1
Hertha Berlin
Braut Haaland (68' pen.), Moukoko (84')
Belfodil (18' pen.)
Ascacibar (66'), Plattenhardt (66')
Dec 18, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-2
Dortmund
Belfodil (51'), Richter (57', 69')
Brandt (31'), Tigges (83')
Pongracic (90+5')
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Dortmund
2-0
Hertha Berlin
Brandt (54'), Moukoko (90+1')
Schulz (23')

Zeefuik (59')
Darida (80')
Nov 21, 2020 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-5
Dortmund
Cunha (33', 79' pen.)
Cunha (61')
Braut Haaland (47', 49', 62', 79'), Guerreiro (70')
Guerreiro (10')
> Preview
Jun 6, 2020 5.30pm
Dortmund
1-0
Hertha Berlin
Can (58')

Esswein (76'), Piatek (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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