Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Hertha Berlin0 - 1Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Hertha Berlin
Friday, August 19 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, August 19 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 | Hertha Berlin | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Koln | 3 | 2 | 5 |
We said: Hertha Berlin 1-3 Borussia Dortmund
We expect Dortmund to bounce back with a victory on Saturday, with a potential change in formation likely to suit their set of players. Defensively, they were too wide open considering that they had a two-goal lead against Bremen, so they should have a better balance and too much overall strength for a struggling Hertha side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 0-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
14.93% ( 0.3) | 18% ( 0.13) | 67.08% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 58.63% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
