This has all of the makings of an entertaining game of football, and we are predicting goals on Friday. Dortmund are further ahead in their preparations for the new season, but a talented Villarreal side should have enough to avoid defeat in the pre-season clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.33%) and 3-1 (5.26%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Villarreal
42.82% ( 0.07)	21.98% ( 0.04)	35.2% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 68.96% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.01% (

-0.21)

30.99% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.62% (

-0.25)

52.38% (

0.25)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.64% (

-0.06)

15.36% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.87% (

-0.11)

44.13% (

0.11)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.47% (

-0.15)

18.52% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.24% (

-0.25)

49.75% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 42.82%

Villarreal 35.2%

Draw 21.98%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 42.82%	1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.98%	1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.2%