MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 05:43:30| >> :120:6406:6406:
Dortmund logo
Friendlies
Jul 22, 2022 at 6pm UK
CASHPOINT Arena
Villarreal logo

Dortmund
0 - 2
Villarreal


Sule (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moreno (45+1'), Chukwueze (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's pre-season clash between Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 1-2 Villarreal
Saturday, July 16 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Villarreal

This has all of the makings of an entertaining game of football, and we are predicting goals on Friday. Dortmund are further ahead in their preparations for the new season, but a talented Villarreal side should have enough to avoid defeat in the pre-season clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.33%) and 3-1 (5.26%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawVillarreal
42.82% (0.07 0.07) 21.98% (0.035 0.04) 35.2% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 68.96% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.01% (-0.211 -0.21)30.99% (0.208 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.62% (-0.25 -0.25)52.38% (0.248 0.25)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.64% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)15.36% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.87% (-0.11 -0.11)44.13% (0.107 0.11)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)18.52% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.24% (-0.247 -0.25)49.75% (0.24299999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 42.82%
    Villarreal 35.2%
    Draw 21.98%
Borussia DortmundDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.33% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 42.82%
1-1 @ 8.99% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 7.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.84% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.8% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.26% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.2%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Villarreal

Borussia Dortmund
66.1%
Draw
19.6%
Villarreal
14.3%
56
rhs 2.0
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