MX23RW : Friday, September 20 22:57:14| >> :60:51:51:
Dortmund logo
Friendlies
Jul 18, 2022 at 6pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Valencia logo

Dortmund
1 - 3
Valencia

Reus (51' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guedes (40', 62'), Maranhao (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's pre-season clash between Borussia Dortmund and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Valencia

This has all the makings of an entertaining match, and we are predicting goals on Monday. Valencia have travelled with a strong squad, but Dortmund are further ahead in their preparations for the new campaign, and we are expecting the Bundesliga side to emerge victorious here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawValencia
61.89% (-0.424 -0.42) 19.66% (0.113 0.11) 18.45% (0.313 0.31)
Both teams to score 60.51% (0.216 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.19% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)56.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.14% (-0.108 -0.11)10.87% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.02% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)34.98% (0.24299999999999 0.24)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (0.32299999999999 0.32)32.12% (-0.322 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41% (0.366 0.37)68.59% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 61.9%
    Valencia 18.45%
    Draw 19.66%
Borussia DortmundDrawValencia
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.6% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.22% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.36% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.1% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.01% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.53% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-1 @ 1.78% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 61.9%
1-1 @ 8.8% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.66%
1-2 @ 5% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.96% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.25% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 18.45%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Valencia

Borussia Dortmund
85.1%
Draw
10.6%
Valencia
4.3%
47
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City4400113812
2Arsenal431061510
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle431063310
4Liverpool43017169
5Aston Villa43017619
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton42206248
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42204228
8Chelsea42118537
9Brentford42026606
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd42025506
11Bournemouth41215505
12Fulham41214405
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs41126424
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham411256-14
15Leicester CityLeicester402257-22
16Crystal Palace402247-32
17Ipswich TownIpswich402227-52
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves4013411-71
19Southampton400418-70
20Everton4004413-90


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!