MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:01:05| >> :60:250:250:
Friendlies
Jul 14, 2022 at 5pm UK
SPORTCLUB Arena
Dortmund logo

Verl
0 - 5
Dortmund


Burger (17'), Stellwagen (36')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Pohlmann (16'), Moukoko (28', 42'), Dahoud (37'), Aning (54' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's pre-season friendly clash between SC Verl and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Verl 0-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, February 5 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
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We said: SC Verl 0-3 Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund's returning international players have not had long to get to grips with their plethora of new teammates, and BVB fans should therefore not expect a totally fluid team performance in midweek. Nevertheless, Terzic's side are full of youthful quality as ever and have two renowned goalscorers in Adeyemi and Haller seeking to get off to a fast start in Germany, so BVB should prevail comfortably in spite of Verl's respectable set of early pre-season results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 69.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for SC Verl had a probability of 13.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a SC Verl win it was 2-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
SC VerlDrawBorussia Dortmund
13.23% (0.032 0.03) 17.38% (0.02 0.02) 69.39% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.08% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.35% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.65% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.4% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)56.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
SC Verl Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.63% (0.047999999999995 0.05)38.37% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.87% (0.044 0.04)75.13% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.99% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)9.01% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.31% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)30.69% (0.029 0.03)
Score Analysis
    SC Verl 13.23%
    Borussia Dortmund 69.38%
    Draw 17.38%
SC VerlDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 3.82% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 1.59% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 13.23%
1-1 @ 7.97% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.46%
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 17.38%
0-2 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 8.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-4 @ 4.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.69% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 2.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-5 @ 1.07%
0-6 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 69.38%

How you voted: Verl vs Dortmund

SC Verl
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Borussia Dortmund
100%
18
rhs 2.0
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