Brazil2 - 1Colombia
The Match
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, November 20 at 12.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, November 19 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Brazil 2-1 Colombia
Going to Brazil used to be the most daunting trip in international football, but the Selecao have taken just 11 points from their six home games so far, and that will give Colombia much hope heading into this one. The hosts have improved slightly of late though, taking eight points from their last four games, and with a full-strength side available to Dorival, they should just get over the line here against a Colombia side that has struggled of late. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brazil in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brazil.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Colombia |
55.97% ( 0.9) | 24.56% ( -0.24) | 19.46% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 46.29% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.46% ( 0.1) | 54.54% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.11% ( 0.08) | 75.88% ( -0.08) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.6% ( 0.39) | 19.4% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.79% ( 0.64) | 51.21% ( -0.64) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.43% ( -0.68) | 42.57% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.07% ( -0.59) | 78.92% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brazil | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 13.54% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.96% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.9% Total : 19.46% |
