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World Cup
Brazil national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2024 at 1.45am UK
Estadio Nacional de Brasilia
Peru national football team

Brazil
4 - 0
Peru

Raphinha (38' pen., 54' pen.), Pereira (71'), Henrique (74')
Vanderson (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Reyna (8'), Gallese (45'), Castillo (48'), Zambrano (55'), Cartagena (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Tuesday's World Cup qualifier at home to Peru.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Chile 1-2 Brazil
Friday, October 11 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Peru

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Peru 1-0 Uruguay
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Brazil 2-0 Peru

 After just about getting over the line in Santiago, Dorival Junior would be grateful for a more routine success here, as claiming six points in October would do wonders for Brazil's position in the standings. Despite a first win of the campaign against Uruguay last week, travelling away to Brazil is not the fixture Peru would have chosen next, even if the Selecao are not in the greatest shape, as they have lost all five previous meetings against their upcoming hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Peru had a probability of 8.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.84%) and 3-0 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
BrazilDrawPeru
73.62% (-0.45099999999999 -0.45) 17.92% (0.19 0.19) 8.46% (0.253 0.25)
Both teams to score 37.12% (0.48 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.37% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.46%72.53% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.73% (-0.131 -0.13)12.26% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62% (-0.268 -0.27)37.99% (0.261 0.26)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.31% (0.606 0.61)57.69% (-0.613 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.57% (0.329 0.33)89.42% (-0.337 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Brazil 73.6%
    Peru 8.46%
    Draw 17.92%
BrazilDrawPeru
2-0 @ 15.57% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-0 @ 14.84% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 10.89% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 6% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.72% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 73.6%
1-1 @ 8.17% (0.115 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 2.36% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 17.92%
0-1 @ 3.89% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.25% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.07% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 8.46%

How you voted: Brazil vs Peru

Brazil
77.6%
Draw
9.6%
Peru
12.8%
125
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2023 3am
Group Stage
Peru
0-1
Brazil

Cartagena (45+7'), Tapia (48'), Lopez (59')
Marquinhos (90')
Raphinha (42'), Guimaraes (61')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
2-0
Peru
Ribeiro (15'), Neymar (40')
> Preview
Jul 6, 2021 12am
Semi-Finals
Brazil
1-0
Peru
> Preview
Jun 18, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Brazil
4-0
Peru
Sandro (12'), Neymar (68'), Ribeiro (89'), Richarlison (90+3')
Jesus (59')

Ramos (23'), Yotun (44'), Tavara (82')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2020 1am
Group Stage
Peru
2-4
Brazil
Carrillo (5'), Tapia (59')
Neymar (28' pen., 83', 90+4'), Richarlison (64')
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