Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 29, 2024 at 2am UK
Allegiant Stadium
Paraguay1 - 4Brazil
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa America clash between Paraguay and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Friday's Copa America clash with Paraguay.
Form, Standings, Stats
Copa America
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Paraguay
Monday, June 24 at 11pm in Copa America
Monday, June 24 at 11pm in Copa America
Copa America
Last Game: Brazil 0-0 Costa Rica
Tuesday, June 25 at 2am in Copa America
Tuesday, June 25 at 2am in Copa America
We said: Paraguay 0-2 Brazil
Their opening game could be the wakeup call Brazil need, and although they are young there is too much attacking talent for us to believe Selecao will be held off the scoresheet once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.06%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Paraguay win it was 1-0 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paraguay | Draw | Brazil |
12.11% ( 0.04) | 21.08% ( 0.01) | 66.8% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 40.57% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
