World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Paraguay0 - 1Colombia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chile 0-0 Paraguay
Friday, November 17 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, November 17 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Brazil
Friday, November 17 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, November 17 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Paraguay 1-1 Colombia
Colombia's unbeaten start has included three draws from five games, including in both of their away games, and it would be no shock to see another tight affair here. Paraguay battled for a 0-0 in Chile with 10 men, and are slight underdogs here despite home advantage, but they may be able to hold their visitors to a draw here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 42.98%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.32%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paraguay | Draw | Colombia |
| 42.98% | 32.09% ( 0.05) | 24.92% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 34.39% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
