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World Cup
Peru national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Colombia national football team

Peru
1 - 1
Colombia

Callens (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diaz (82')
Sinisterra (27'), Mina (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Peru and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Peru
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America

Colombia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Colombia
Monday, July 15 at 2.15am in Copa America

We said: Peru 0-3 Colombia

 Colombia were full of goals at the Copa America as they scored 12, their highest ever in a single tournament, and with Peru struggling in front of net, we expect an easy victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 44.08%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.6%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
PeruDrawColombia
23.82% (-0.431 -0.43) 32.1% (-0.131 -0.13) 44.08% (0.563 0.56)
Both teams to score 33.68% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
26.81% (0.123 0.12)73.19% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
10.79% (0.073 0.07)89.21% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.89% (-0.351 -0.35)49.11% (0.352 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.96% (-0.252 -0.25)84.03% (0.25200000000001 0.25)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (0.40000000000001 0.4)33.82% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.51% (0.433 0.43)70.48% (-0.432 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Peru 23.82%
    Colombia 44.07%
    Draw 32.09%
PeruDrawColombia
1-0 @ 11.81% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 4.55% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.2% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-1 @ 1.08% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 23.82%
0-0 @ 16.6% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 32.09%
0-1 @ 18% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 9.76% (0.167 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.53% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.045 0.04)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.07%

How you voted: Peru vs Colombia

Peru
18.3%
Draw
6.5%
Colombia
75.3%
93
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2022 9pm
Group Stage
Colombia
0-1
Peru

Mina (17')
Flores (85')
Carrillo (45+2'), Cueva (56'), Corzo (87')
> Preview
Jul 10, 2021 1am
Third-Place Match
Colombia
3-2
Peru
Cuadrado (49'), Diaz (66', 90+4')
Yotun (45'), Lapadula (82')
> Preview
Jun 21, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Colombia
1-2
Peru
> Preview
Jun 4, 2021 3am
Group Stage
Peru
0-3
Colombia

Trauco (34'), Corzo (37'), Guerrero (57'), Lapadula (71')
Trauco (45')
Mina (40'), Uribe (49'), Diaz (55')
Medina (19'), Ospina (59'), Cuellar (74')
Munoz (59')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2019 1.30am
International Friendlies
Colombia
1-0
Peru
Morelos (93')
Lerma (43'), Morelos (62'), Mina (71'), Uribe (86')

Corzo (7')
rhs 2.0
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