World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Peru1 - 1Colombia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Peru
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Colombia
Monday, July 15 at 2.15am in Copa America
Monday, July 15 at 2.15am in Copa America
We said: Peru 0-3 Colombia
Colombia were full of goals at the Copa America as they scored 12, their highest ever in a single tournament, and with Peru struggling in front of net, we expect an easy victory for the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 44.08%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.6%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Colombia |
23.82% ( -0.43) | 32.1% ( -0.13) | 44.08% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 33.68% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 26.81% ( 0.12) | 73.19% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 10.79% ( 0.07) | 89.21% ( -0.07) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.89% ( -0.35) | 49.11% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.96% ( -0.25) | 84.03% ( 0.25) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.17% ( 0.4) | 33.82% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.51% ( 0.43) | 70.48% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
Peru 23.82%
Colombia 44.07%
Draw 32.09%
| Peru | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.18% Total : 23.82% | 0-0 @ 16.6% ( -0.08) 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 32.09% | 0-1 @ 18% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.17)1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.07% |
How you voted: Peru vs Colombia
Peru
18.3%Draw
6.5%Colombia
75.3%93
