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Colombia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Jan 28, 2022 at 9pm UK
colombia
Peru national football team

Colombia
0 - 1
Peru


Mina (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Flores (85')
Carrillo (45+2'), Cueva (56'), Corzo (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Colombia 2-1 Peru

Peru will fancy their chances of picking up a positive result here considering their recent performances, but it is difficult to back against Colombia in this contest. The home side have had their issues in the section but should have enough quality to secure all three points on their return to qualification action. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
ColombiaDrawPeru
53.72%26.57%19.7%
Both teams to score 41.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.85%61.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.9%81.1%
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99%23.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19%56.81%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.82%46.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.14%81.86%
Score Analysis
    Colombia 53.72%
    Peru 19.7%
    Draw 26.57%
ColombiaDrawPeru
1-0 @ 15.61%
2-0 @ 11.46%
2-1 @ 8.86%
3-0 @ 5.62%
3-1 @ 4.34%
4-0 @ 2.06%
3-2 @ 1.68%
4-1 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 53.72%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 3.42%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 8.21%
1-2 @ 4.66%
0-2 @ 3.17%
1-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 19.7%

How you voted: Colombia vs Peru

Colombia
62.7%
Draw
18.3%
Peru
18.9%
169
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2021 1am
Third-Place Match
Colombia
3-2
Peru
Cuadrado (49'), Diaz (66', 90+4')
Yotun (45'), Lapadula (82')
Jun 21, 2021 1am
Jun 4, 2021 3am
Group Stage
Peru
0-3
Colombia

Trauco (34'), Corzo (37'), Guerrero (57'), Lapadula (71')
Trauco (45')
Mina (40'), Uribe (49'), Diaz (55')
Medina (19'), Ospina (59'), Cuellar (74')
Munoz (59')
Nov 16, 2019 1.30am
International Friendlies
Colombia
1-0
Peru
Morelos (93')
Lerma (43'), Morelos (62'), Mina (71'), Uribe (86')

Corzo (7')
Jun 9, 2019 10pm
International Friendlies
Peru
0-3
Colombia

Gonzales (43'), Advincula (55')
Yotun (55')
Uribe (23', 65'), Zapata (94')
Cuadrado (18'), Sanchez (55'), Martinez (59'), Uribe (80')
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