Arsenal3 - 0Real Madrid
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 22 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League
for
Tuesday, March 18 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Chelsea | 47 | 2.76 | Beever-Jones |
| 2 | Arsenal | 45 | 2.65 | Russo |
| 3 | Man City | 38 | 2.24 | Shaw |
| 4 | Man Utd | 34 | 2.00 | Terland |
| 5 | Brighton | 25 | 1.47 | Kirby |
| 6 | West Ham | 23 | 1.35 | Asseyi |
| 7 | Spurs | 20 | 1.18 | England |
| 8 | Everton | 18 | 1.06 | Gago |
| 9 | Liverpool | 17 | 1.00 | Smith |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 16 | 0.94 | Daly |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 0.88 | Blanchard |
| 12 | Leicester | 13 | 0.76 | Cayman |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 64.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Real Madrid Femenino win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Real Madrid Femenino |
64.47% ( -0.06) | 19.24% ( 0.03) | 16.3% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.35% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.17% ( -0.04) | 36.83% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41% ( -0.05) | 59% ( 0.05) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.22% ( -0.02) | 10.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.2% ( -0.06) | 34.81% ( 0.07) |
| Real Madrid Femenino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.28% ( 0.02) | 35.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.51% ( 0.02) | 72.5% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Real Madrid Femenino |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 64.47% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.24% | 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 16.3% |
