MX23RW : Thursday, March 27 15:57:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 17
Mar 22, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
4 - 0
Liverpool

Foord (28'), Matthews (29' og., 69' og.), Caldentey (44')
McCabe (45+3')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Kiernan (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Liverpool Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Arsenal
Tuesday, March 18 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Man Utd
Friday, March 14 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League

We said: Arsenal Women 1-1 Liverpool Women

Arsenal will be keen to return to winning ways following their disappointing trip to Madrid, but there is a risk that any tiredness could play into Liverpool's hands, and we think that the confident visitors will do enough to take a point from Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 76.52%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 9.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawLiverpool Women
76.52% (-2.169 -2.17) 14.47% (1.262 1.26) 9.02% (0.9079 0.91)
Both teams to score 51.78% (-1.076 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.38% (-3.314 -3.31)32.62% (3.315 3.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.71% (-3.936 -3.94)54.28% (3.936 3.94)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.99% (-1.114 -1.11)7.01% (1.115 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.35% (-3.058 -3.06)25.65% (3.059 3.06)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.68% (-0.484 -0.48)44.32% (0.485 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.62% (-0.396 -0.4)80.38% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 76.51%
    Liverpool Women 9.02%
    Draw 14.47%
Arsenal WomenDrawLiverpool Women
2-0 @ 10.97% (0.62 0.62)
3-0 @ 9.72% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.389 0.39)
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.942 0.94)
3-1 @ 7.91% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-0 @ 6.46% (-0.457 -0.46)
4-1 @ 5.26% (-0.449 -0.45)
5-0 @ 3.43% (-0.483 -0.48)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.105 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.79% (-0.436 -0.44)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.213 -0.21)
6-0 @ 1.52% (-0.327 -0.33)
6-1 @ 1.24% (-0.286 -0.29)
5-2 @ 1.14% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 76.51%
1-1 @ 6.72% (0.686 0.69)
2-2 @ 3.63% (0.111 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.523 0.52)
Other @ 1%
Total : 14.47%
1-2 @ 2.74% (0.246 0.25)
0-1 @ 2.53% (0.397 0.4)
0-2 @ 1.03% (0.15 0.15)
2-3 @ 0.99% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 9.02%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Liverpool

Arsenal Women
Draw
Liverpool Women
Arsenal Women
100%
Draw
0.0%
Liverpool Women
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Liverpool
0-1
Arsenal

Hinds (62')
Russo (20')
Caldentey (82')
Jan 28, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Liverpool
0-2
Arsenal

Lawley (19'), Daniels (57'), Koivisto (80'), Matthews (90+3')
Miedema (60'), Foord (69')
McCabe (72')
Oct 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 1
Arsenal
0-1
Liverpool

McCabe (45')
Taylor (48')
Hinds (79'), Holland (83'), Enderby (87')
Mar 8, 2023 7.15pm
Gameweek 14
Arsenal
2-0
Liverpool
Blackstenius (28'), Foord (34')
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Liverpool
0-2
Arsenal
Walti (15'), Maanum (22')
rhs 2.0
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