MX23RW : Sunday, January 5 16:39:31| >> :600:1652037:1652037:
Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 17, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Di Stefano

Real Madrid
1 - 2
Chelsea

Weir (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Macario (51' pen., 56' pen.)
Cuthbert (61'), Baltimore (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's Champions League clash between Real Madrid Femenino and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Celtic Women 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Leicester 1-1 Chelsea
Saturday, December 14 at 12pm in Women's Super League

We said: Real Madrid Femenino 1-2 Chelsea Women

Real Madrid provided Chelsea with a stern test in the return fixture, and we expect Tuesday's clash to be another close-fought contest, but we believe that the Blues have the extra quality required to claim a narrow victory against the Spanish side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Real Madrid Femenino win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chelsea Women in this match.

Result
Real Madrid FemeninoDrawChelsea Women
27.1% (-1.397 -1.4) 21.87% (-1.229 -1.23) 51.03% (2.631 2.63)
Both teams to score 64.58% (3.327 3.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.19% (4.876 4.88)34.81% (-4.873 -4.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.23% (5.262 5.26)56.78% (-5.258 -5.26)
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (1.569 1.57)24.94% (-1.564 -1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (2.131 2.13)59.57% (-2.127 -2.13)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.03% (2.693 2.69)13.97% (-2.69 -2.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.54% (5.053 5.05)41.46% (-5.05 -5.05)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid Femenino 27.1%
    Chelsea Women 51.03%
    Draw 21.87%
Real Madrid FemeninoDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-0 @ 4.84% (-1.025 -1.03)
2-0 @ 3.36% (-0.533 -0.53)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.246 0.25)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 27.1%
1-1 @ 9.52% (-0.978 -0.98)
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.256 0.26)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.931 -0.93)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.324 0.32)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-1.056 -1.06)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.343 -0.34)
1-3 @ 6.15% (0.523 0.52)
0-3 @ 4.43% (0.191 0.19)
2-3 @ 4.27% (0.535 0.54)
1-4 @ 3.03% (0.505 0.51)
0-4 @ 2.18% (0.281 0.28)
2-4 @ 2.1% (0.427 0.43)
1-5 @ 1.19% (0.287 0.29)
3-4 @ 0.97% (0.232 0.23)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 51.03%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Chelsea

Real Madrid Femenino
21.1%
Draw
15.8%
Chelsea Women
63.2%
38
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Chelsea
3-2
Real Madrid
Nusken (2'), Reiten (27' pen.), Ramirez (53')
Redondo (39'), Caicedo (84')
Abilleira (61')
Jan 24, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Chelsea
2-1
Real Madrid
Reiten (62' pen.), Chavas (70' og.)
Nov 15, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Real Madrid
2-2
Chelsea
Carmona (10', 79' pen.)
Toletti (45'), Sousa (90')
Charles (41'), Kerr (74')
Dec 8, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Real Madrid
1-1
Chelsea
Weir (36')
Rodriguez (59' og.)
Nov 23, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Chelsea
2-0
Real Madrid
Ingle (67'), Cuthbert (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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