Real Madrid1 - 2Chelsea
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Saturday, December 14 at 12pm in Women's Super League
for
We said: Real Madrid Femenino 1-2 Chelsea Women
Real Madrid provided Chelsea with a stern test in the return fixture, and we expect Tuesday's clash to be another close-fought contest, but we believe that the Blues have the extra quality required to claim a narrow victory against the Spanish side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Real Madrid Femenino win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chelsea Women in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid Femenino | Draw | Chelsea Women |
27.1% ( -1.4) | 21.87% ( -1.23) | 51.03% ( 2.63) |
| Both teams to score 64.58% ( 3.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.19% ( 4.88) | 34.81% ( -4.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.23% ( 5.26) | 56.78% ( -5.26) |
| Real Madrid Femenino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( 1.57) | 24.94% ( -1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.43% ( 2.13) | 59.57% ( -2.13) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.03% ( 2.69) | 13.97% ( -2.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.54% ( 5.05) | 41.46% ( -5.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid Femenino | Draw | Chelsea Women |
| 2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 4.84% ( -1.03)2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.53)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.55% Total : 27.1% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.98) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.93)3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.32)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.87% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -1.06)0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 6.15% ( 0.52)0-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.54)1-4 @ 3.03% ( 0.51)0-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.28)2-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.43)1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.29)3-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.23)Other @ 3.74% Total : 51.03% |
