Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Chelsea3 - 2Real Madrid
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-7 Chelsea
Friday, September 27 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Friday, September 27 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Sporting
Thursday, September 26 at 7pm in Women's Champions League
Thursday, September 26 at 7pm in Women's Champions League
We said: Chelsea Women 2-2 Real Madrid Femenino
Chelsea will be keen to begin their European campaign with a victory, but we think that they could be held to a draw by a Real Madrid side that will be full of confidence after kicking off their season with seven consecutive victories in all competitions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Real Madrid Femenino win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Real Madrid Femenino |
42.02% ( -0.1) | 25.6% ( 0.03) | 32.38% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.86% ( -0.09) | 49.14% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.79% ( -0.09) | 71.21% ( 0.09) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( -0.09) | 23.24% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.85% ( -0.13) | 57.14% ( 0.14) |
| Real Madrid Femenino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.33% ( 0) | 28.66% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.52% | 64.48% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Chelsea Women 42.02%
Real Madrid Femenino 32.38%
Draw 25.6%
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Real Madrid Femenino |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.02% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.38% |
How you voted: Chelsea vs Real Madrid
Chelsea Women
62.8%Draw
27.9%Real Madrid Femenino
9.3%43
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2024 8pm
Nov 15, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Real Madrid
2-2
Chelsea
Dec 8, 2022 8pm
Nov 23, 2022 8pm
Form Guide
