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Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 5, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow

Chelsea Women
8 - 0
Bristol Women

Reiten (6' pen., 56', 70', 77'), Nusken (23'), Beever-Jones (52', 88'), Charles (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rodgers (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Bristol City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Women 0-4 Man City Women
Sunday, April 28 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League

We said: Chelsea Women 5-0 Bristol City Women

Chelsea may have experienced disappointment in midweek, but they should have far too much quality for Bristol City, which is why we believe that they will ease to a comfortable victory over the relegated side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 88.51%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 3.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 4-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.71%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-2 (1.16%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawBristol City Women
88.51% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54) 7.97% (0.354 0.35) 3.52% (0.1901 0.19)
Both teams to score 44.82% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.92% (-0.911 -0.91)23.08% (0.912 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.63% (-1.241 -1.24)42.37% (1.241 1.24)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.76% (-0.208 -0.21)3.24% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.64% (-0.723 -0.72)14.36% (0.723 0.72)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.32% (0.094000000000001 0.09)53.68% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.92% (0.055999999999999 0.06)87.08% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 88.5%
    Bristol City Women 3.52%
    Draw 7.97%
Chelsea WomenDrawBristol City Women
3-0 @ 11.69% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 10.23% (0.263 0.26)
4-0 @ 10.02% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-1 @ 7.28% (0.072 0.07)
5-0 @ 6.87% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-1 @ 6.37% (0.184 0.18)
4-1 @ 6.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.97% (0.266 0.27)
5-1 @ 4.28% (-0.124 -0.12)
6-0 @ 3.93% (-0.204 -0.2)
6-1 @ 2.44% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
7-0 @ 1.92% (-0.14 -0.14)
5-2 @ 1.33% (-0.035 -0.03)
7-1 @ 1.2% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 88.5%
1-1 @ 3.71% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 1.98% (0.062 0.06)
0-0 @ 1.74% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 7.97%
1-2 @ 1.16% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 1.08% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 3.52%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 10
Bristol Women
0-3
Chelsea Women
James (17'), Cuthbert (34'), Kerr (59')
Charles (24')
Charles (90+6')
Feb 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bristol Women
0-5
Chelsea Women
Kirby (14', 40'), Mosegaard-Harder (36'), Kerr (55'), England (60')
Sep 13, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Chelsea Women
9-0
Bristol Women
Kirby (15'), Naevdal Mjelde (31' pen.), Leupolz (34'), Cuthbert (36'), Bright (40'), England (66'), Charles (69'), Mosegaard-Harder (73'), Kerr (86')

Bryson (90+3')
Jan 12, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 7
Chelsea Women
6-1
Bristol Women
England (28', 82'), Blundell (40'), Carter (45'), So-yun (45', 50')
Bright (74'), Carter (93')
Salmon (15')
Pattinson (70')
Sep 29, 2019 3pm
Bristol Women
0-4
Chelsea Women

Harrison (55')
Reiten (3', 10'), So-yun (18'), Ingle (78')
rhs 2.0
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