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Women's Super League | Gameweek 18
Apr 14, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Meadow Park

Arsenal Women
5 - 0
Bristol Women

Mead (7', 32'), Powell (34' og.), Russo (59', 74')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Bristol City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Arsenal Women
Sunday, March 24 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Bristol Women 0-1 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, March 24 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Arsenal Women 3-0 Bristol City Women

Arsenal have already beaten Bristol City in the WSL and League Cup this season, and we expect the Gunners to make it a clean sweep by easing to all three points in Sunday's home fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 86.59%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 4.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 4-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.35%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 0-1 (1.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawBristol City Women
86.59% (0.093000000000004 0.09) 9.24% (-0.064 -0.06) 4.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.28% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.41% (0.20400000000001 0.2)26.58% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.04% (0.25899999999999 0.26)46.96% (-0.259 -0.26)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.92% (0.048000000000002 0.05)4.08% (-0.0491 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.88% (0.15300000000001 0.15)17.12% (-0.155 -0.16)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.16% (0.047999999999995 0.05)53.84% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.82% (0.029 0.03)87.17% (-0.029999999999987 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 86.58%
    Bristol City Women 4.17%
    Draw 9.24%
Arsenal WomenDrawBristol City Women
3-0 @ 11.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
4-0 @ 9.59% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 6.14% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.94% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.8% (0.027 0.03)
6-0 @ 3.27% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 2.03% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.5% (0.019 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.18% (0.01 0.01)
7-1 @ 0.93% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 86.58%
1-1 @ 4.35% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 9.24%
0-1 @ 1.36% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-2 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 4.17%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 4
Bristol Women
1-2
Arsenal Women
Furness (16')
Furness (84'), Murray (90+3')
McCabe (7', 59')
Wubben-Moy (31'), Russo (78')
Apr 4, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 12
Bristol Women
0-4
Arsenal Women
Miedema (4', 65'), Van de Donk (45+1'), Mead (63')
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 3
Arsenal Women
3-1
Bristol Women
Nobbs (42'), Foord (50'), Miedema (86')
Harrison (6')
Mar 22, 2020 3pm
Dec 1, 2019 12.30pm
Arsenal Women
11-1
Bristol Women
Evans (7', 60'), Williamson (10'), Miedema (15', 32', 36', 51', 56', 64'), Nobbs (54'), Mitchell (79')
Daniels (85')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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