MX23RW : Friday, November 22 13:29:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 22, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol Women
1 - 2
Arsenal Women

Furness (16')
Furness (84'), Murray (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McCabe (7', 59')
Wubben-Moy (31'), Russo (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Bristol City Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City Women 5-0 Bristol Women
Sunday, October 15 at 1pm in Women's Super League

We said: Bristol City Women 0-4 Arsenal Women

Bristol City have struggled to compete in their opening three league games, and we think that they will be outclassed by Arsenal on Sunday, which is why we expect the visitors to ease to a comfortable away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 16.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Bristol City WomenDrawArsenal Women
16.41% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 20.14% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 63.46% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.34% (-0.28599999999999 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.14% (-0.351 -0.35)40.86% (0.354 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.75% (-0.36 -0.36)63.25% (0.362 0.36)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.93% (-0.242 -0.24)38.07% (0.243 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.16% (-0.235 -0.23)74.84% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.76% (-0.117 -0.12)12.24% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.04% (-0.251 -0.25)37.96% (0.252 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City Women 16.41%
    Arsenal Women 63.46%
    Draw 20.14%
Bristol City WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 4.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.5% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 16.41%
1-1 @ 9.45% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.14%
0-2 @ 10.28% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.113 0.11)
0-3 @ 7.2% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 3.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.65% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.76% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.53% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 63.46%

How you voted: Bristol Women vs Arsenal Women

Bristol City Women
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Arsenal Women
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 12
Bristol Women
0-4
Arsenal Women
Miedema (4', 65'), Van de Donk (45+1'), Mead (63')
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 3
Arsenal Women
3-1
Bristol Women
Nobbs (42'), Foord (50'), Miedema (86')
Harrison (6')
Mar 22, 2020 3pm
Dec 1, 2019 12.30pm
Arsenal Women
11-1
Bristol Women
Evans (7', 60'), Williamson (10'), Miedema (15', 32', 36', 51', 56', 64'), Nobbs (54'), Mitchell (79')
Daniels (85')
Mar 14, 2019 7.30pm
Arsenal Women
4-0
Bristol Women
Miedema (11', 59', 78'), McCabe (76')

Dykes (25')
rhs 2.0
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FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
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