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Women's Super League | Gameweek 19
May 17, 2023 at 6.15pm UK
 

Everton Ladies
1 - 4
Arsenal Women

Snoeijs (86')
Holmgaard (10')
Beever-Jones (49')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Foord (29', 39'), McCabe (33'), Wubben-Moy (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between Everton Ladies and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea Women 7-0 Everton Ladies
Sunday, May 7 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-4 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Everton Ladies 1-3 Arsenal Women

We expect Everton to put up a better fight than they did against Chelsea, but we still believe that Arsenal will have enough quality to claim a fairly comfortable victory on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 68.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 13.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 1-0 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Everton LadiesDrawArsenal Women
13.21% (1.03 1.03) 18.32% (0.618 0.62) 68.47% (-1.648 -1.65)
Both teams to score 52.46% (1.006 1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.73% (-0.286 -0.29)39.27% (0.28700000000001 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.39% (-0.302 -0.3)61.61% (0.302 0.3)
Everton Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.58% (1.431 1.43)41.41% (-1.433 -1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.08% (1.239 1.24)77.92% (-1.239 -1.24)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.54% (-0.486 -0.49)10.46% (0.4841 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.93% (-1.106 -1.11)34.07% (1.104 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Everton Ladies 13.21%
    Arsenal Women 68.46%
    Draw 18.32%
Everton LadiesDrawArsenal Women
1-0 @ 3.82% (0.196 0.2)
2-1 @ 3.8% (0.262 0.26)
2-0 @ 1.68% (0.148 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.26% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 1.12% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 13.21%
1-1 @ 8.62% (0.272 0.27)
0-0 @ 4.33% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.212 0.21)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.32%
0-2 @ 11.03% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-1 @ 9.78% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 8.31% (-0.416 -0.42)
1-3 @ 7.32% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-4 @ 4.69% (-0.339 -0.34)
1-4 @ 4.13% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.094 0.09)
0-5 @ 2.12% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-5 @ 1.87% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.82% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 68.46%

How you voted: Everton Ladies vs Arsenal Women

Everton Ladies
12.5%
Draw
18.8%
Arsenal Women
68.8%
16
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 2pm
Apr 24, 2022 6.45pm
gameweek 20
Everton Ladies
0-3
Arsenal Women
Foord (43'), Mead (67'), Nobbs (75')
Oct 10, 2021 3pm
May 2, 2021 1pm
gameweek 14
Everton Ladies
1-2
Arsenal Women
McCabe (22'), Finnigan (74'), Little (90+4' pen.)
Miedema (75'), Christiansen (90+1'), Finnigan (90+4')
Dec 20, 2020 12.30pm
gameweek 7
Arsenal Women
4-0
Everton Ladies
Nobbs (4'), Foord (10'), Beattie (61'), Mead (63')
rhs 2.0
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