Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 86.98%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 3.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 4-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.28%), while for a Reading Women win it was 0-1 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.